Market Snapshot

The Indian stock market ended the week on a somber note, erasing previous gains as the BSE Sensex crashed 769.67 points (0.94%) to close at 81,537.70. The NSE Nifty 50 followed suit, sliding 241.25 points (0.95%) to settle at 25,048.65. Volatility spiked as the India VIX jumped to 14.38, reflecting heightened investor anxiety. Market breadth was heavily skewed in favor of the bears, with 3,126 stocks declining against 1,477 advances. The session was particularly grueling for mid and small-cap indices, which fell between 1.5% and 2%.

Institutional Flows: Cash Market

Provisional data for January 23, 2026, highlights a widening gap between foreign and domestic institutional activity as global uncertainties persist:

• Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs): Remained aggressive net sellers, offloading equities worth ₹4,113.40 crore in the cash segment.
• Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs): Attempted to cushion the fall with a net purchase of ₹4,102.60 crore.

The relentless selling pressure from FIIs—who have now withdrawn over ₹36,500 crore in January 2026 alone—continues to weigh heavily on market sentiment, nearly neutralizing the consistent support provided by domestic mutual funds and insurance companies.

Derivatives Market Activity

The derivatives segment reflected a cautious stance among traders as the market approached the monthly expiry.

• Open Interest (OI) Concentration: The highest Call OI is currently positioned at the 26,000 strike, while the 25,000 strike holds the maximum Put OI, establishing a critical psychological floor for the Nifty.
• Max Pain Level: The "Max Pain" level for the current series is estimated near 25,400, suggesting a potential tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the coming sessions.
• Volatility Index: The 6.3% jump in India VIX indicates that traders are pricing in higher risks, likely due to the upcoming Union Budget and geopolitical shifts.

Key Drivers and Outlook

Several factors converged to trigger Friday's downward spiral:

• Adani Group Turbulence: Shares of Adani Group companies, including Adani Enterprises and Adani Ports, tumbled up to 14% following reports of US SEC summons, significantly impacting the Nifty's weightage.
• Currency Headwinds: The Indian Rupee hit a fresh record low of 91.97 against the US Dollar intraday, eventually closing at 91.96. This currency depreciation has further fueled FII exits.
• Sectoral Meltdown: The Energy sector was the hardest hit, plunging over 20%, while Realty and PSU Banks also faced significant selling pressure.
• Pre-Budget Caution: With the Union Budget 2026 on the horizon, investors are adopting a "wait-and-watch" approach, leading to profit-booking in high-beta stocks.

Looking ahead, the market will remain closed on Monday, January 26, for Republic Day. Trading is expected to remain volatile as participants digest Q3 corporate earnings and position themselves for the upcoming fiscal announcements.

TAGS: FII, DII, Stock Market, Institutional Investors, Nifty, Sensex

Tags: FII DII Stock Market Institutional Investors Nifty Sensex

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