Markets Snap Winning Streak Ahead of Union Budget; FIIs Turn Net Buyers

Market Snapshot

The Indian stock market witnessed a cautious trading session on Friday, with the benchmark indices retreating from their recent highs. The BSE Sensex declined by 296.59 points, or 0.36%, to settle at 82,269.78. Similarly, the NSE Nifty 50 fell by 98.25 points, or 0.39%, closing at 25,320.65. The market breadth was mixed, though the sentiment was dominated by defensive plays ahead of the Union Budget 2026, scheduled for presentation on Sunday, February 1.

The day’s top performers and laggards included:

• Nestle India: Surged 3.46% following strong Q3 results.
• Mahindra & Mahindra: Gained 1.40% on selective buying.
• Hindalco Industries: Slumped nearly 6% amid a broader metal sector rout.
• Tata Steel: Fell 4.81% as metal prices softened globally.

Institutional Flows: Cash Market

In a notable divergence from the week’s earlier trend, institutional activity on January 30, 2026, showed Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) moving into a net buying position, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) opted to book profits.

According to provisional exchange data:

• Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs): Recorded a net inflow of ₹2,251.37 crore.
• Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs): Recorded a net outflow of ₹601.03 crore.

This shift suggests that while domestic funds were trimming positions to manage risk ahead of the fiscal policy announcements, global investors found value in select pockets despite the overall market decline.

Derivatives Market Activity

Volatility expectations remained relatively stable despite the index drop. The India VIX, a key gauge of market anticipation of near-term volatility, fell by 1.14% to settle at 13.37. In the F&O segment, there was significant activity in Nifty call and put contracts as traders adjusted their hedges for the upcoming Budget Day session.

Key observations in the derivatives space:

• Significant open interest was seen in the 25,500 Call and 25,000 Put strikes for the Nifty 50.
• Bank Nifty displayed relative resilience, sustaining above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating an improving underlying price structure.

Key Drivers and Outlook

The primary driver for Friday's negative close was the heavy selling in the Nifty Metal index, which plunged over 5%. This was fueled by a combination of global profit-booking in commodities and caution regarding potential changes in import-export duties in the upcoming Budget. Additionally, the IT sector faced pressure due to rising U.S. bond yields and global growth concerns.

Looking ahead, the market is bracing for a rare Sunday trading session on February 1 to coincide with the Union Budget 2026. Market participants will be scanning the Budget for:

• Clarity on capital gains tax and fiscal deficit targets.
• Sector-specific allocations, particularly for infrastructure and rural development.
• Cues on growth support measures amidst global trade uncertainties.

TAGS: FII, DII, Stock Market, Institutional Investors, Nifty, Sensex

Tags: FII DII Stock Market Institutional Investors Nifty Sensex