💎 Multibagger AI
AI research briefs on NSE Expansion & Order-win announcements — verdict, deal magnitude, industry context, and the actual return since each announcement, measured from a price you could really have paid and benchmarked against the Nifty Smallcap 250 and NIFTY 50.
📊 Alpha by verdict tier — live
📈 Alpha distribution — Strong vs Unlikely
⏱️ How alpha behaves as you hold — same 990 picks, four holding periods
Most platforms publish one number from one window. Here is the whole curve — the identical 990 picks measured at 30, 60, 90 and 120 days after entry. Because the set never changes, the shape cannot be an artefact of dropping inconvenient picks. At 30 days the signal is negative, and we leave that on the page: an order win or a capex plan reaches reported financials only after a full earnings cycle, so a month measures the market's reflex, not the thesis.
| Held for | Median return | % positive | Median α vs NIFTY 50 | % beating NIFTY 50 | Median α vs Smallcap 250 | % beating Smallcap 250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | -0.6% | 48% | +0.7% | 53% | -1.9% | 42% |
| 60 days | +0.8% | 52% | +2.0% | 58% | -3.4% | 41% |
| 90 days reported above | +2.0% | 55% | +4.9% | 62% | -4.1% | 41% |
| 120 days | +3.6% | 57% | +6.8% | 66% | -5.5% | 39% |
🗺️ Sector heat map — where our Strong & Possible picks actually worked
The grid opens on raw return, which is the money actually made — and which includes whatever the market handed us. Over these windows the median pick returned -1.9% while Nifty Smallcap 250 was rising, so most of the grid is green before any skill is counted. The two α tabs strip that out and are the harder read: against Smallcap 250 the same book sits at -7.3%, against NIFTY 50 +3.3%. Smallcap 250 is the fair comparison for names this size; NIFTY 50 flatters them. Use all three.
One more thing worth staring at: in the two sectors where Strong picks actually concentrate, Strong did worse than Possible — Electric Equipment and Construction both. Small sample and one market period, but not the direction the tier is supposed to run.
Rows are ranked by raw return and keep that order when you switch tabs rather than re-sorting, so you can see which sectors change colour. Measured entry → latest close, the same basis as the α columns in the table below — a longer and more variable window than the fixed 90-day study, so these will not match it sector for sector.
🏆 Top 10 picks
| # | Stock | Announced | Verdict | Sector | Return | α vs Nifty | α vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GFSTEELS Grand Foundry Limited | 15 Jan 2026 | Unlikely | Steel - Medium / Small | +314.4% ₹11.2 → ₹46.6 | +324.3% | +302.9% |
| 2 | HFCL HFCL Limited | 25 Mar 2026 | Unlikely | Engineering - Turnkey Services | +269.2% ₹71.5 → ₹264.0 | +267.8% | +264.1% |
| 3 | E2E E2E Networks Limited | 09 Jan 2026 | Possible | Computers - Software - Medium / Small | +260.0% ₹183.4 → ₹660.1 | +270.3% | +261.8% |
| 4 | INDSWFTLAB Ind-Swift Laboratories Limited | 14 Jan 2026 | Possible | Pharmaceuticals - Indian - Bulk Drugs & Formln | +258.3% ₹100.2 → ₹359.0 | +268.2% | +255.6% |
| 5 | CUPID Cupid Limited | 29 Dec 2025 | Possible | Personal Care - Indian | +252.6% ₹98.0 → ₹345.6 | +263.4% | — |
| 6 | SIGMAADV SIGMA ADVANCED SYSTEMS LIMITED | 27 Apr 2026 | Possible ⚠ 26.0× revenue | Aerospace & Defense | +248.8% ₹260.9 → ₹910.0 | +252.3% | +213.5% |
| 7 | SKYGOLD SKY GOLD AND DIAMONDS LIMITED | 27 Feb 2026 | Strong Candidate | Diamond Cutting / Jewellery | +226.4% ₹326.3 → ₹1065.1 | +233.3% | +201.6% |
| 8 | AEROFLEX Aeroflex Industries Limited | 18 Dec 2025 | Possible | Steel - Medium / Small | +173.0% ₹183.0 → ₹499.6 | +183.9% | +162.6% |
| 9 | FCL Fineotex Chemical Limited | 25 Mar 2026 | Strong Candidate | Chemicals | +167.4% ₹21.0 → ₹56.2 | +166.0% | +142.8% |
| 10 | RATNAVEER Ratnaveer Precision Engineering Limite | 31 Mar 2026 | Possible | Steel - Medium / Small | +157.5% ₹137.0 → ₹352.8 | +155.4% | +135.7% |
⚠️ 10 worst picks
| # | Stock | Announced | Verdict | Sector | Return | α vs Nifty | α vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INDOTHAI Indo Thai Securities Limited | 20 Jul 2026 | Possible | Finance & Investments | -84.4% ₹220.0 → ₹34.4 | -80.1% | -70.9% |
| 2 | RMDRIP R M Drip and Sprinklers Systems Limite | 16 Feb 2026 | Possible | Plastics Products | -71.1% ₹68.2 → ₹19.7 | -61.1% | -44.5% |
| 3 | HEG HEG Limited | 14 Jul 2026 | Possible | Electrodes - Graphites | -60.2% ₹565.0 → ₹224.7 | -56.3% | — |
| 4 | SOLEX Solex Energy Limited | 05 May 2026 | Possible ⚠ 4.0× revenue | Electric Equipment | -54.9% ₹1356.9 → ₹612.5 | -50.0% | -40.6% |
| 5 | ZAGGLE Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited | 31 Dec 2025 | Possible | Computers - Software - Medium / Small | -52.9% ₹353.0 → ₹166.1 | -41.4% | -47.6% |
| 6 | ABCOTS A B Cotspin India Limited | 13 Apr 2026 | Unlikely ⚠ 5.4× revenue | Textiles - Cotton/Blended | -52.4% ₹405.2 → ₹193.0 | -47.9% | — |
| 7 | ASMS Bartronics India Limited | 01 Dec 2025 | Unlikely | Computers - Software - Medium / Small | -50.7% ₹11.7 → ₹5.8 | -39.6% | -45.0% |
| 8 | AVROIND AVRO INDIA LIMITED | 08 Jan 2026 | Possible | Plastics Products | -49.8% ₹11.9 → ₹6.0 | -39.9% | -22.4% |
| 9 | GTPL GTPL Hathway Limited | 12 Jan 2026 | Unlikely | Entertainment / Electronic Media Software | -49.8% ₹108.0 → ₹54.2 | -39.7% | -47.8% |
| 10 | WEL Wonder Electricals Limited | 04 Feb 2026 | Unlikely | Electric Equipment | -49.2% ₹140.0 → ₹71.1 | -39.5% | -42.8% |
Every row is a real, dated AI call on a real NSE announcement — nothing here is back-fitted or re-picked after the fact. Return = next trading day's open after the announcement → latest close in our database. α vs Nifty = that return minus NIFTY 50 over the same window. The worst-picks columns are part of the record: this analysis does not reliably predict multibaggers, and losses of this size are the honest downside of following any single call. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Research/educational only — not investment advice.
Multibagger score is an AI opinion (0-100). "Return since" = price change from the opening price of the next trading day after the announcement — a price any investor could have paid, whatever time the filing landed — to the latest available close in our database. We deliberately do not measure from the announcement day's own close: over half these filings arrive after the 3:30 pm close, so that price is unobtainable and would flatter this record by roughly a percentage point. α vs Smallcap = that return minus the Nifty Smallcap 250 over the same window (the apples-to-apples benchmark for these mostly-smallcap stocks); positive α = the pick beat the smallcap market. α vs NIFTY 50 = the same picks measured against the large-cap market over the same windows. The headline return/α tiles and the tier-performance chart use matured picks only (1433 picks held ≥90 days) — picks that are only days old sit at ~0% by construction and would dilute the medians. We use 90 days because one quarter is one earnings cycle: an announced order or expansion only reaches reported financials after a full quarter, so shorter windows measure the market's reflex rather than the thesis — and it leaves an investor ample opportunity to act. The holding-period table above publishes every horizon we measured, including the ones where alpha is negative. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Research/educational only — not investment advice.
