💎 Multibagger AI
AI research briefs on NSE Expansion & Order-win announcements — verdict, deal magnitude, industry context, and the actual return since each announcement, measured from a price you could really have paid and benchmarked against the Nifty Smallcap 250 and NIFTY 50.
📊 Alpha by verdict tier — live
📈 Alpha distribution — Strong vs Unlikely
⏱️ How alpha behaves as you hold — same 1011 picks, four holding periods
Most platforms publish one number from one window. Here is the whole curve — the identical 1011 picks measured at 30, 60, 90 and 120 days after entry. Because the set never changes, the shape cannot be an artefact of dropping inconvenient picks. At 30 days the signal is negative, and we leave that on the page: an order win or a capex plan reaches reported financials only after a full earnings cycle, so a month measures the market's reflex, not the thesis.
| Held for | Median return | % positive | Median α vs NIFTY 50 | % beating NIFTY 50 | Median α vs Smallcap 250 | % beating Smallcap 250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | -1.7% | 45% | +0.6% | 53% | -1.6% | 43% |
| 60 days | +0.1% | 50% | +2.9% | 59% | -3.1% | 42% |
| 90 days reported above | +2.2% | 55% | +5.4% | 64% | -3.3% | 42% |
| 120 days | +5.1% | 61% | +8.6% | 69% | -4.6% | 42% |
🗺️ Sector heat map — where our Strong & Possible picks actually worked
The grid opens on raw return, which is the money actually made — and which includes whatever the market handed us. Over these windows the median pick returned +4.5% while Nifty Smallcap 250 was rising, so most of the grid is green before any skill is counted. The two α tabs strip that out and are the harder read: against Smallcap 250 the same book sits at -9.9%, against NIFTY 50 +8.0%. Smallcap 250 is the fair comparison for names this size; NIFTY 50 flatters them. Use all three.
One more thing worth staring at: in the two sectors where Strong picks actually concentrate, Strong did worse than Possible — Electric Equipment and Construction both. Small sample and one market period, but not the direction the tier is supposed to run.
Rows are ranked by raw return and keep that order when you switch tabs rather than re-sorting, so you can see which sectors change colour. Measured entry → latest close, the same basis as the α columns in the table below — a longer and more variable window than the fixed 90-day study, so these will not match it sector for sector.
| Stock | Date | Source | Verdict | Sector | Score | Return since | α vs Smallcap | α vs Nifty | α vs sector | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEI 📈 KEI Industries Limited | 01 Dec 2025 | Expansion | Possible | Cables - Power |
72/100
|
+10.0% ₹4110.0 → ₹4520.0 | +0.3% | +20.1% | — | |
| JSWINFRA 📈 JSW Infrastructure Limited | 01 Dec 2025 | Expansion | Possible | Miscellaneous |
70/100
|
+23.1% ₹272.9 → ₹336.1 | +13.4% | +33.2% | +25.1% sector -11.7% · n=64 | |
| GODREJPROP 📈 Godrej Properties Limited | 01 Dec 2025 | Expansion | Unlikely | Construction |
42/100
|
-19.5% ₹2087.5 → ₹1681.0 | -29.2% | -9.4% | -10.9% sector -18.3% · n=137 | |
Multibagger score is an AI opinion (0-100). "Return since" = price change from the opening price of the next trading day after the announcement — a price any investor could have paid, whatever time the filing landed — to the latest available close in our database. We deliberately do not measure from the announcement day's own close: over half these filings arrive after the 3:30 pm close, so that price is unobtainable and would flatter this record by roughly a percentage point. α vs Smallcap = that return minus the Nifty Smallcap 250 over the same window (the apples-to-apples benchmark for these mostly-smallcap stocks); positive α = the pick beat the smallcap market. α vs NIFTY 50 = the same picks measured against the large-cap market over the same windows. The headline return/α tiles and the tier-performance chart use matured picks only (1164 picks held ≥90 days) — picks that are only days old sit at ~0% by construction and would dilute the medians. We use 90 days because one quarter is one earnings cycle: an announced order or expansion only reaches reported financials after a full quarter, so shorter windows measure the market's reflex rather than the thesis — and it leaves an investor ample opportunity to act. The holding-period table above publishes every horizon we measured, including the ones where alpha is negative. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Research/educational only — not investment advice.
