💎 Multibagger AI
AI research briefs on NSE Expansion & Order-win announcements — verdict, deal magnitude, industry context, and the actual return since each announcement, measured from a price you could really have paid and benchmarked against the Nifty Smallcap 250 and NIFTY 50.
📊 Alpha by verdict tier — live
📈 Alpha distribution — Strong vs Unlikely
⏱️ How alpha behaves as you hold — same 21 picks, four holding periods
Most platforms publish one number from one window. Here is the whole curve — the identical 21 picks measured at 30, 60, 90 and 120 days after entry. Because the set never changes, the shape cannot be an artefact of dropping inconvenient picks. At 30 days the signal is negative, and we leave that on the page: an order win or a capex plan reaches reported financials only after a full earnings cycle, so a month measures the market's reflex, not the thesis.
| Held for | Median return | % positive | Median α vs NIFTY 50 | % beating NIFTY 50 | Median α vs Smallcap 250 | % beating Smallcap 250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | +6.2% | 67% | +7.0% | 76% | +4.5% | 67% |
| 60 days | +0.3% | 52% | +5.6% | 67% | +2.7% | 62% |
| 90 days reported above | +7.2% | 67% | +11.3% | 76% | +3.3% | 52% |
| 120 days | +14.1% | 76% | +16.7% | 95% | +2.5% | 62% |
🏆 Top 10 picks
| # | Stock | Announced | Verdict | Sector | Return | α vs Nifty | α vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTARTECH Mtar Technologies Limited | 18 Dec 2025 | Unlikely | Engineering | +207.8% ₹2326.6 → ₹7161.0 | +215.8% | — |
| 2 | BHEL Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited | 10 Feb 2026 | Unlikely | Electric Equipment | +64.6% ₹261.9 → ₹431.1 | +72.5% | — |
| 3 | STLTECH Sterlite Technologies Limited | 22 May 2026 | Unlikely | Cables - Telephone | +61.7% ₹463.2 → ₹748.9 | +62.3% | — |
| 4 | ABB ABB India Limited | 27 Jan 2026 | Unlikely | Electric Equipment | +55.7% ₹4759.0 → ₹7410.0 | +61.4% | — |
| 5 | SWANDEF Swan Defence and Heavy Industries Limi | 23 Jan 2026 | Unlikely ⚠ 41.2× revenue | Miscellaneous | +51.7% ₹1661.1 → ₹2520.2 | +56.8% | — |
| 6 | HCC Hindustan Construction Company Limited | 19 Mar 2026 | Unlikely | Construction | +48.3% ₹15.5 → ₹23.0 | +44.9% | — |
| 7 | PTCIL PTC Industries Limited | 09 Jan 2026 | Unlikely | Castings & Forgings | +34.6% ₹17700.0 → ₹23830.0 | +41.9% | — |
| 8 | STLNETWORK STL Networks Limited | 03 Feb 2026 | Unlikely | Other Telecom Services | +33.7% ₹21.6 → ₹28.9 | +41.0% | — |
| 9 | ARFIN Arfin India Limited | 29 Dec 2025 | Unlikely | Aluminium | +26.6% ₹68.9 → ₹87.2 | +34.5% | — |
| 10 | SADHNANIQ Sadhana Nitrochem Limited | 28 May 2026 | Unlikely | Chemicals | +11.5% ₹2.4 → ₹2.7 | +10.0% | — |
⚠️ 10 worst picks
| # | Stock | Announced | Verdict | Sector | Return | α vs Nifty | α vs sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HILINFRA Highway Infrastructure Limited | 10 Dec 2025 | Unlikely | Road AssetsToll, Annuity, Hybrid-Annuity | -31.5% ₹64.9 → ₹44.5 | -23.8% | — |
| 2 | SEPC SEPC Limited | 14 May 2026 | Unlikely | Engineering - Turnkey Services | -30.0% ₹7.7 → ₹5.4 | -31.1% | — |
| 3 | AFCONS Afcons Infrastructure Limited | 11 May 2026 | Unlikely | Construction | -16.6% ₹351.1 → ₹292.8 | -18.8% | — |
| 4 | PACEDIGITK Pace Digitek Limited | 19 Jan 2026 | Unlikely | Telecom - Infrastructure | -4.8% ₹176.0 → ₹167.6 | +0.5% | — |
| 5 | LT Larsen & Toubro Limited | 23 Dec 2025 | Unlikely | Engineering - Turnkey Services | -2.5% ₹4065.0 → ₹3964.1 | +6.1% | — |
| 6 | BAJEL Bajel Projects Limited | 29 Apr 2026 | Unlikely | Engineering - Turnkey Services | -1.6% ₹186.9 → ₹183.8 | -1.2% | — |
| 7 | INDOWIND Indowind Energy Limited | 13 Mar 2026 | Unlikely | Power Generation And Supply | +3.7% ₹8.7 → ₹9.0 | +1.6% | — |
| 8 | DBREALTY Valor Estate Limited | 19 Mar 2026 | Unlikely | Construction | +5.7% ₹97.0 → ₹102.6 | +2.3% | — |
| 9 | INDIANHUME Indian Hume Pipe Company Limited | 24 Apr 2026 | Unlikely | Construction | +11.1% ₹349.0 → ₹387.8 | +11.9% | — |
Every row is a real, dated AI call on a real NSE announcement — nothing here is back-fitted or re-picked after the fact. Return = next trading day's open after the announcement → latest close in our database. α vs Nifty = that return minus NIFTY 50 over the same window. The worst-picks columns are part of the record: this analysis does not reliably predict multibaggers, and losses of this size are the honest downside of following any single call. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Research/educational only — not investment advice.
Multibagger score is an AI opinion (0-100). "Return since" = price change from the opening price of the next trading day after the announcement — a price any investor could have paid, whatever time the filing landed — to the latest available close in our database. We deliberately do not measure from the announcement day's own close: over half these filings arrive after the 3:30 pm close, so that price is unobtainable and would flatter this record by roughly a percentage point. α vs Smallcap = that return minus the Nifty Smallcap 250 over the same window (the apples-to-apples benchmark for these mostly-smallcap stocks); positive α = the pick beat the smallcap market. α vs NIFTY 50 = the same picks measured against the large-cap market over the same windows. The headline return/α tiles and the tier-performance chart use matured picks only (26 picks held ≥90 days) — picks that are only days old sit at ~0% by construction and would dilute the medians. We use 90 days because one quarter is one earnings cycle: an announced order or expansion only reaches reported financials after a full quarter, so shorter windows measure the market's reflex rather than the thesis — and it leaves an investor ample opportunity to act. The holding-period table above publishes every horizon we measured, including the ones where alpha is negative. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Research/educational only — not investment advice.
