📅 ICICI Bank Limited Seasonality

ICICI Bank Limited (ICICIBANK) has ended October higher in 16 of the last 22 years (73%), with an average October move of +4.6%. The strongest October was 2013 (+26.9%) and the weakest was 2008 (-25.5%).

ICICIBANK · data since 2004 (23 yrs) Prices through 16 Oct 2026 ⭐ #16 monthly Top-25
16/22
Octobers closed higher
+4.6%
Avg October move
+5.7%
October so far
April
Best month · avg +5.2%
February
Weakest month · avg -3.5%
23
Years of history
Current month: October 2026 historically up 73% of years (16/22) avg +4.6% best 2013 +26.9% worst 2008 -25.5% so far +5.7%

ICICI Bank Limited's historically strongest month is April — up in 17 of 23 years (74%) with an average gain of +5.2%. The weakest month has been February, averaging -3.5% with gains in only 10 of 23 years.

📊 Average return by month

2004–2026 · completed months only
Bars above the zero line are months ICICIBANK typically gained; hover for hit rates.

🗓️ Month-by-month returns (2004–2026)

dashed cell = current month to date
Year JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Avg +0.7-3.5+0.6+5.2+1.8+0.4+4.7-0.0+2.7+4.6+1.7+3.2
Up % 55%43%61%74%57%52%74%48%48%73%64%73%
2026 +0.9 +1.8 -12.5 +4.8 -0.6 +9.5 +4.4 +1.3 -9.1 +5.7 · ·
2025 -2.3 -3.9 +12.0 +5.8 +1.3 +0.0 +2.5 -5.6 -3.6 -0.2 +3.2 -3.3
2024 +3.2 +2.3 +3.9 +5.2 -2.6 +7.0 +1.3 +1.2 +3.6 +1.5 +0.6 -1.4
2023 -6.6 +2.8 +2.6 +4.6 +3.4 -1.5 +6.8 -4.0 -0.7 -3.8 +2.1 +6.6
2022 +6.6 -5.8 -1.7 +1.8 +1.3 -6.1 +15.8 +8.4 -2.9 +5.4 +4.9 -6.5
2021 +0.4 +11.3 -2.6 +3.2 +10.4 -4.8 +8.2 +5.4 -2.5 +14.4 -10.9 +3.6
2020 -2.5 -5.4 -34.9 +17.4 -12.7 +5.9 -1.3 +13.8 -10.1 +10.7 +20.6 +13.0
2019 +1.2 -3.9 +14.4 +1.7 +4.0 +3.2 -2.9 -3.5 +5.9 +6.8 +10.7 +5.1
2018 +17.0 -11.2 -11.1 +2.1 +0.6 -3.6 +10.5 +12.6 -10.8 +16.2 +0.0 +1.4
2017 +5.3 +2.8 +0.2 +0.6 +17.2 -1.5 +4.3 -1.5 -7.2 +8.5 +2.5 +2.1
2016 -11.9 -17.4 +24.5 +0.1 +3.2 +0.3 +9.3 -1.9 -2.3 +9.8 -4.1 -3.9
2015 +2.2 -7.1 -5.9 +5.0 -4.2 -1.2 -1.8 -8.1 -2.7 +2.5 -1.2 -4.5
2014 -10.1 +5.7 +19.3 -0.1 +14.0 +3.2 +3.7 +5.8 -7.9 +13.5 +7.9 +0.6
2013 +4.6 -12.7 +0.5 +11.3 +0.9 -7.3 -15.1 -11.6 +9.9 +26.9 -4.7 +2.8
2012 +31.8 +0.5 -1.8 -0.9 -9.4 +14.8 +6.9 -6.2 +17.4 -0.8 +4.7 +3.5
2011 -10.8 -5.0 +15.0 -0.2 -2.5 +2.1 -5.3 -15.8 +0.2 +6.4 -23.5 -3.9
2010 -5.3 +5.0 +9.2 -0.1 -8.8 +0.7 +5.0 +8.0 +13.8 +4.5 -1.8 +0.3
2009 -7.1 -21.3 +1.6 +44.5 +53.9 -1.0 +5.0 -1.0 +20.8 -12.9 +9.7 +1.0
2008 -7.4 -5.1 -29.3 +14.3 -10.3 -20.1 +3.0 +5.4 -20.3 -25.5 -11.8 +27.4
2007 +5.6 -11.9 +2.9 +1.5 +6.2 +5.1 -2.9 -4.2 +19.6 +18.0 -6.0 +5.1
2006 +4.1 +1.0 -4.3 -2.1 -6.8 -9.2 +15.5 +7.9 +17.1 +11.1 +12.3 +2.2
2005 -2.8 +5.5 +3.1 -8.4 +8.9 +8.6 +25.5 -8.4 +24.9 -17.1 +7.9 +8.7
2004 · -8.2 +9.4 +6.3 -26.8 +6.1 +9.4 +0.8 +9.1 +4.5 +13.6 +9.3

🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — October 2026

ranked walk-forward on historical consistency · median stock so far: -1.9%
⭐ This stock is #16 in the current October 2026 Top 25
#StockRecordWin %Avg returnSo far
1 MUTHOOTFIN Muthoot Finance Limited 13/15 yrs up 87% +4.4% -5.1%
2 POKARNA Pokarna Limited 9/10 yrs up 90% +9.7% +1.2%
3 STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited 18/22 yrs up 82% +3.7% +2.3%
4 TBZ Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited 12/14 yrs up 86% +12.3% +19.5%
5 RAMCOCEM The Ramco Cements Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +0.6% -4.8%
6 OBEROIRLTY Oberoi Realty Limited 12/15 yrs up 80% +6.1% -3.5%
7 PDSL PDS Limited 9/11 yrs up 82% +9.4% -2.8%
8 MCX Multi Comm. Exc. 11/14 yrs up 79% +8.9% -4.2%
9 INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited 15/20 yrs up 75% +6.7% -3.8%
10 SUZLON Suzlon Energy Limited 15/20 yrs up 75% +4.8% +6.4%
11 RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited 15/20 yrs up 75% +4.2% -6.6%
12 IFBAGRO IFB Agro Industries Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +11.7% -3.1%
13 GMDCLTD Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +8.5% -7.2%
14 USHAMART Usha Martin Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +6.0% -1.5%
15 GSFC Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +4.6% -1.3%
16 ICICIBANK ICICI Bank Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +4.5% +5.7%
17 SHRIRAMFIN Shriram Finance Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +2.8% -4.3%
18 KABRAEXTRU Kabra Extrusion Technik Limited 16/22 yrs up 73% +2.2% +0.4%
19 HIRECT Hind Rectifiers Limited 14/19 yrs up 74% +4.7% -2.7%
20 TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited 12/16 yrs up 75% +9.5% +2.0%
21 KECL Kirloskar Electric Company Limited 12/16 yrs up 75% +8.0% -1.9%
22 IMFA Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited 12/16 yrs up 75% +8.0% -0.9%
23 DBREALTY Valor Estate Limited 12/16 yrs up 75% +7.4% -9.7%
24 ATULAUTO Atul Auto Limited 10/13 yrs up 77% +8.3% -5.6%
25 MINDTECK Mindteck (India) Limited 8/10 yrs up 80% +5.1% -2.8%
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
Current quarter: Q4 2026 historically up 73% of years (16/22) avg +9.4% so far +5.7%

By quarter, Q4 (Oct–Dec) has been the strongest for ICICIBANK: up in 16 of 22 years, averaging +9.4%. Q1 (Jan–Mar) has been the softest (-2.6% on average). The current quarter (Q4) has historically closed higher 73% of the time.

📊 Average return by quarter

Q1 = Jan–Mar … Q4 = Oct–Dec
Calendar quarters, close-to-close. Hover for hit rates.

🗓️ Quarter-by-quarter returns

dashed cell = current quarter to date
Year Q1Q2Q3Q4
Avg -2.6+8.0+7.5+9.4
Up % 45%65%65%73%
2026 -10.2 +14.0 -3.9 +5.7
2025 +5.2 +7.2 -6.8 -0.4
2024 +9.7 +9.7 +6.1 +0.7
2023 -1.5 +6.5 +1.9 +4.7
2022 -1.3 -3.2 +21.9 +3.3
2021 +8.8 +8.4 +11.1 +5.6
2020 -39.9 +8.6 +0.9 +50.8
2019 +11.2 +9.1 -0.8 +24.3
2018 -7.7 -1.1 +10.9 +17.9
2017 +8.4 +16.2 -4.7 +13.5
2016 -9.5 +3.7 +4.8 +1.2
2015 -10.6 -0.7 -12.2 -3.3
2014 +13.3 +17.6 +1.1 +23.2
2013 -8.2 +4.2 -17.5 +24.3
2012 +30.0 +3.1 +17.7 +7.5
2011 -2.5 -0.6 -20.0 -21.8
2010 +8.6 -8.2 +29.2 +2.9
2009 -25.7 +120.2 +25.7 -3.4
2008 -37.9 -18.1 -13.5 -16.3
2007 -4.3 +13.2 +11.2 +16.6
2006 +0.7 -17.2 +45.9 +27.4
2005 +5.8 +8.4 +43.7 -2.8
2004 · -17.5 +20.4 +29.7

🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — Q4 2026

ranked walk-forward on historical consistency · median stock so far: -1.9%
#StockRecordWin %Avg returnSo far
1 RHIM RHI MAGNESITA INDIA LIMITED 13/14 yrs up 93% +14.0% -3.8%
2 APOLLOHOSP Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited 19/22 yrs up 86% +6.2% -3.4%
3 RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited 17/20 yrs up 85% +24.7% -6.6%
4 STAR Strides Pharma Science Limited 18/22 yrs up 82% +6.3% -6.7%
5 DRREDDY Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited 18/22 yrs up 82% +4.5% +0.0%
6 PROZONER Prozone Realty Limited 12/14 yrs up 86% +19.8% -3.9%
7 POLYMED Poly Medicure Limited 12/14 yrs up 86% +9.2% -4.8%
8 INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited 16/20 yrs up 80% +23.2% -3.8%
9 TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited 13/16 yrs up 81% +22.7% +2.0%
10 FIEMIND Fiem Industries Limited 15/19 yrs up 79% +14.2% +2.2%
11 BSOFT BIRLASOFT LIMITED 17/22 yrs up 77% +21.8% +17.1%
12 SONATSOFTW Sonata Software Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +20.2% -4.0%
13 FACT Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +20.1% -3.3%
14 TVSHLTD TVS Holdings Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +15.4% -5.0%
15 APARINDS Apar Industries Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +15.1% -7.8%
16 STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +11.0% +2.3%
17 EPL EPL Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +10.4% -2.1%
18 TORNTPHARM Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +8.5% -5.0%
19 WIPRO Wipro Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +8.4% +16.3%
20 HINDALCO Hindalco Industries Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +7.6% -3.6%
21 VTL Vardhman Textiles Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +7.4% -0.5%
22 HDFCBANK HDFC Bank Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +6.2% +2.8%
23 COROMANDEL Coromandel International Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +5.9% +0.0%
24 ASIANPAINT Asian Paints Limited 17/22 yrs up 77% +4.3% -2.9%
25 JPOLYINVST Jindal Poly Investment and Finance Company Limited 10/12 yrs up 83% +34.9% +2.1%
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
❓ ICICIBANK seasonality — FAQ
How often does ICICI Bank Limited rise in October?
Historically ICICIBANK has closed October with a gain in 16 out of 22 years — a 73% hit rate — averaging +4.6% for the month (data since 2004).
Which is the best month to buy ICICI Bank Limited historically?
Based on 23 years of data, April has been ICICIBANK's strongest month: positive in 74% of years with an average return of +5.2%. Past seasonality does not guarantee future results.
Which is the weakest month for ICICI Bank Limited?
February has historically been the weakest month for ICICIBANK, with an average move of -3.5% and gains in just 10 of 23 years.
Which quarter is historically strongest for ICICI Bank Limited?
Q4 (Oct–Dec) — positive in 16 of 22 years with an average return of +9.4%.
Does seasonality guarantee future returns?
No. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction. It reflects how a stock happened to trade in past calendar periods and can break at any time. Use it as one research input alongside fundamentals and technicals, and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

Methodology: returns are close-to-close over calendar months and quarters, computed from adjusted daily prices since 2004. A period's return is only counted when the immediately preceding period also traded. Statistics cover completed periods; the current period is shown separately as “so far”. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction or investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

⚠️ How this site is made: Market data pages are computed automatically from NSE/BSE publications and company filings; news articles and announcement analyses are written with AI assistance, with a human in the loop: our editors review what the AI produces. Both can contain errors. Verify with the original sources before any investment decision. Not investment advice; Flash Finance is not SEBI-registered. How we use AI