📅 National Fertilizers Limited Seasonality
National Fertilizers Limited (NFL) has ended October higher in 10 of the last 19 years (53%), with an average October move of -2.2%. The strongest October was 2019 (+15.5%) and the weakest was 2008 (-36.1%).
NFL · data since 2007 (20 yrs)
Prices through 16 Oct 2026
10/19
Octobers closed higher
-2.2%
Avg October move
-3.6%
October so far
April
Best month · avg +11.0%
March
Weakest month · avg -6.9%
20
Years of history
Current month: October 2026
historically up 53% of years (10/19)
avg -2.2%
best 2019 +15.5%
worst 2008 -36.1%
so far -3.6%
National Fertilizers Limited's historically strongest month is April — up in 20 of 20 years (100%) with an average gain of +11.0%. The weakest month has been March, averaging -6.9% with gains in only 8 of 20 years.
📊 Average return by month
Bars above the zero line are months NFL typically gained; hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Month-by-month returns (2007–2026)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | +9.5 | -1.1 | -6.9 | +11.0 | +6.7 | +0.3 | -3.3 | -5.3 | +0.7 | -2.2 | +3.1 | +7.9 |
| Up % | 45% | 40% | 40% | 100% | 55% | 50% | 35% | 20% | 50% | 53% | 53% | 74% |
| 2026 | -9.6 | -6.6 | -16.6 | +20.8 | -2.5 | -1.8 | -4.2 | -1.5 | -7.3 | -3.6 | · | · |
| 2025 | -7.3 | -27.3 | +2.9 | +5.4 | +16.0 | +2.8 | -3.3 | -1.4 | -4.4 | +1.5 | -9.0 | +7.6 |
| 2024 | +37.7 | -22.0 | -10.9 | +18.8 | -1.5 | +27.2 | +13.3 | -6.1 | -9.8 | -11.0 | +9.7 | -5.1 |
| 2023 | -11.7 | -8.8 | +16.5 | +8.8 | -15.4 | +5.2 | +1.9 | -5.1 | +7.5 | -5.0 | +3.2 | +28.1 |
| 2022 | +9.6 | -21.5 | +17.2 | +11.0 | -11.5 | -20.7 | +11.1 | +9.7 | -5.2 | +4.2 | +15.5 | +34.5 |
| 2021 | +11.7 | +25.8 | +2.2 | +7.1 | +20.9 | -5.9 | -2.7 | -15.0 | +9.2 | -8.0 | -10.2 | +6.9 |
| 2020 | +9.8 | -20.8 | -18.8 | +37.9 | +0.2 | +29.6 | +8.2 | -1.3 | -7.8 | -5.9 | +12.0 | +10.6 |
| 2019 | -3.2 | -4.8 | +5.8 | +0.7 | +9.4 | -5.4 | -9.5 | -20.2 | -7.1 | +15.5 | -7.7 | -1.7 |
| 2018 | +17.6 | -16.4 | -10.9 | +4.3 | -7.9 | -11.6 | -2.5 | +7.7 | -21.3 | -5.1 | -5.7 | +6.4 |
| 2017 | +46.3 | +50.7 | -1.3 | +2.9 | +3.7 | -13.6 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -12.5 | +4.8 | +0.5 | +17.3 |
| 2016 | -2.6 | -5.3 | +5.4 | +5.5 | +10.1 | +11.7 | -7.2 | -1.8 | +2.4 | +5.6 | -5.6 | +6.8 |
| 2015 | -0.7 | +4.3 | -25.6 | +1.6 | -3.7 | -4.4 | +4.8 | -11.3 | +2.6 | +3.8 | +5.0 | +7.2 |
| 2014 | -5.6 | +3.7 | +2.3 | +3.3 | +50.9 | +15.8 | -21.4 | -4.7 | +1.8 | +5.0 | +6.2 | -1.6 |
| 2013 | -7.0 | -11.1 | -29.4 | +7.5 | -10.6 | -18.3 | -22.3 | -33.3 | +9.7 | +10.8 | +11.4 | -1.6 |
| 2012 | +54.9 | +8.6 | -20.9 | +11.3 | -0.9 | +5.1 | -10.3 | -6.9 | +19.5 | -6.7 | -1.8 | +1.7 |
| 2011 | -13.3 | +8.5 | -2.9 | +2.0 | -4.8 | -6.5 | -8.8 | -10.6 | -10.6 | +1.3 | -20.3 | -2.5 |
| 2010 | +94.0 | -4.1 | -17.8 | +8.1 | +2.5 | +4.6 | +0.5 | +1.5 | +0.0 | +1.8 | -3.6 | +0.7 |
| 2009 | -2.3 | +13.5 | +13.9 | +25.1 | +66.4 | -14.4 | -8.6 | -7.9 | +21.7 | -13.0 | +16.0 | +6.8 |
| 2008 | -32.2 | +17.3 | -40.1 | +27.9 | +11.5 | +2.6 | -6.3 | -4.4 | -18.7 | -36.1 | -13.0 | +12.0 |
| 2007 | +3.4 | -5.9 | -8.5 | +9.6 | +0.3 | +3.6 | +3.2 | +6.5 | +45.1 | -4.9 | +57.3 | +15.8 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — October 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUTHOOTFIN Muthoot Finance Limited | 13/15 yrs up | 87% | +4.4% | -5.1% |
| 2 | POKARNA Pokarna Limited | 9/10 yrs up | 90% | +9.7% | +1.2% |
| 3 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 4 | TBZ Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +12.3% | +19.5% |
| 5 | RAMCOCEM The Ramco Cements Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 6 | OBEROIRLTY Oberoi Realty Limited | 12/15 yrs up | 80% | +6.1% | -3.5% |
| 7 | PDSL PDS Limited | 9/11 yrs up | 82% | +9.4% | -2.8% |
| 8 | MCX Multi Comm. Exc. | 11/14 yrs up | 79% | +8.9% | -4.2% |
| 9 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +6.7% | -3.8% |
| 10 | SUZLON Suzlon Energy Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.8% | +6.4% |
| 11 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.2% | -6.6% |
| 12 | IFBAGRO IFB Agro Industries Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +11.7% | -3.1% |
| 13 | GMDCLTD Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +8.5% | -7.2% |
| 14 | USHAMART Usha Martin Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +6.0% | -1.5% |
| 15 | GSFC Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.6% | -1.3% |
| 16 | ICICIBANK ICICI Bank Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.5% | +5.7% |
| 17 | SHRIRAMFIN Shriram Finance Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.8% | -4.3% |
| 18 | KABRAEXTRU Kabra Extrusion Technik Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.2% | +0.4% |
| 19 | HIRECT Hind Rectifiers Limited | 14/19 yrs up | 74% | +4.7% | -2.7% |
| 20 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +9.5% | +2.0% |
| 21 | KECL Kirloskar Electric Company Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -1.9% |
| 22 | IMFA Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -0.9% |
| 23 | DBREALTY Valor Estate Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +7.4% | -9.7% |
| 24 | ATULAUTO Atul Auto Limited | 10/13 yrs up | 77% | +8.3% | -5.6% |
| 25 | MINDTECK Mindteck (India) Limited | 8/10 yrs up | 80% | +5.1% | -2.8% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
Current quarter: Q4 2026
historically up 58% of years (11/19)
avg +9.3%
so far -3.6%
By quarter, Q2 (Apr–Jun) has been the strongest for NFL: up in 13 of 20 years, averaging +19.5%. Q3 (Jul–Sep) has been the softest (-7.5% on average). The current quarter (Q4) has historically closed higher 58% of the time.
📊 Average return by quarter
Calendar quarters, close-to-close. Hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Quarter-by-quarter returns
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | +1.0 | +19.5 | -7.5 | +9.3 |
| Up % | 35% | 65% | 25% | 58% |
| 2026 | -29.5 | +15.7 | -12.6 | -3.6 |
| 2025 | -30.6 | +25.7 | -8.9 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | -4.3 | +48.8 | -4.0 | -7.4 |
| 2023 | -6.2 | -3.2 | +3.9 | +25.5 |
| 2022 | +0.9 | -22.1 | +15.6 | +61.8 |
| 2021 | +43.5 | +21.8 | -9.6 | -11.7 |
| 2020 | -29.4 | +79.0 | -1.5 | +16.5 |
| 2019 | -2.5 | +4.2 | -32.9 | +4.8 |
| 2018 | -12.4 | -15.1 | -17.3 | -4.7 |
| 2017 | +117.6 | -7.8 | -14.6 | +23.5 |
| 2016 | -2.7 | +29.7 | -6.7 | +6.5 |
| 2015 | -22.9 | -6.4 | -4.6 | +16.9 |
| 2014 | +0.2 | +80.5 | -23.7 | +9.6 |
| 2013 | -41.6 | -21.5 | -43.2 | +21.4 |
| 2012 | +33.1 | +16.0 | -0.2 | -6.8 |
| 2011 | -8.7 | -9.1 | -27.1 | -21.2 |
| 2010 | +52.9 | +15.9 | +2.1 | -1.2 |
| 2009 | +26.3 | +78.1 | +2.5 | +7.8 |
| 2008 | -52.4 | +46.4 | -27.2 | -37.8 |
| 2007 | -11.0 | +14.0 | +59.5 | +73.3 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — Q4 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RHIM RHI MAGNESITA INDIA LIMITED | 13/14 yrs up | 93% | +14.0% | -3.8% |
| 2 | APOLLOHOSP Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited | 19/22 yrs up | 86% | +6.2% | -3.4% |
| 3 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 17/20 yrs up | 85% | +24.7% | -6.6% |
| 4 | STAR Strides Pharma Science Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +6.3% | -6.7% |
| 5 | DRREDDY Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +4.5% | +0.0% |
| 6 | PROZONER Prozone Realty Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +19.8% | -3.9% |
| 7 | POLYMED Poly Medicure Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +9.2% | -4.8% |
| 8 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 16/20 yrs up | 80% | +23.2% | -3.8% |
| 9 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 13/16 yrs up | 81% | +22.7% | +2.0% |
| 10 | FIEMIND Fiem Industries Limited | 15/19 yrs up | 79% | +14.2% | +2.2% |
| 11 | BSOFT BIRLASOFT LIMITED | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +21.8% | +17.1% |
| 12 | SONATSOFTW Sonata Software Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.2% | -4.0% |
| 13 | FACT Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.1% | -3.3% |
| 14 | TVSHLTD TVS Holdings Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.4% | -5.0% |
| 15 | APARINDS Apar Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.1% | -7.8% |
| 16 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +11.0% | +2.3% |
| 17 | EPL EPL Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +10.4% | -2.1% |
| 18 | TORNTPHARM Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.5% | -5.0% |
| 19 | WIPRO Wipro Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.4% | +16.3% |
| 20 | HINDALCO Hindalco Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.6% | -3.6% |
| 21 | VTL Vardhman Textiles Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.4% | -0.5% |
| 22 | HDFCBANK HDFC Bank Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +6.2% | +2.8% |
| 23 | COROMANDEL Coromandel International Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +5.9% | +0.0% |
| 24 | ASIANPAINT Asian Paints Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +4.3% | -2.9% |
| 25 | JPOLYINVST Jindal Poly Investment and Finance Company Limited | 10/12 yrs up | 83% | +34.9% | +2.1% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
❓ NFL seasonality — FAQ
How often does National Fertilizers Limited rise in October?
Historically NFL has closed October with a gain in 10 out of 19 years — a 53% hit rate — averaging -2.2% for the month (data since 2007).
Which is the best month to buy National Fertilizers Limited historically?
Based on 20 years of data, April has been NFL's strongest month: positive in 100% of years with an average return of +11.0%. Past seasonality does not guarantee future results.
Which is the weakest month for National Fertilizers Limited?
March has historically been the weakest month for NFL, with an average move of -6.9% and gains in just 8 of 20 years.
Which quarter is historically strongest for National Fertilizers Limited?
Q2 (Apr–Jun) — positive in 13 of 20 years with an average return of +19.5%.
Does seasonality guarantee future returns?
No. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction. It reflects how a stock happened to trade in past calendar periods and can break at any time. Use it as one research input alongside fundamentals and technicals, and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
Methodology: returns are close-to-close over calendar months and quarters, computed from adjusted daily prices since 2007. A period's return is only counted when the immediately preceding period also traded. Statistics cover completed periods; the current period is shown separately as “so far”. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction or investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
