📅 Nelcast Limited Seasonality
Nelcast Limited (NELCAST) has ended October higher in 10 of the last 19 years (53%), with an average October move of +3.7%. The strongest October was 2017 (+30.9%) and the weakest was 2008 (-36.5%).
NELCAST · data since 2007 (20 yrs)
Prices through 16 Oct 2026
10/19
Octobers closed higher
+3.7%
Avg October move
+10.1%
October so far
April
Best month · avg +11.0%
February
Weakest month · avg -6.7%
20
Years of history
Current month: October 2026
historically up 53% of years (10/19)
avg +3.7%
best 2017 +30.9%
worst 2008 -36.5%
so far +10.1%
Nelcast Limited's historically strongest month is April — up in 17 of 19 years (89%) with an average gain of +11.0%. The weakest month has been February, averaging -6.7% with gains in only 3 of 19 years.
📊 Average return by month
Bars above the zero line are months NELCAST typically gained; hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Month-by-month returns (2007–2026)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | -2.7 | -6.7 | -2.6 | +11.0 | +3.3 | -0.6 | +7.5 | +0.4 | +2.7 | +3.7 | -2.5 | +6.7 |
| Up % | 37% | 16% | 47% | 89% | 42% | 47% | 60% | 45% | 60% | 53% | 42% | 74% |
| 2026 | -14.3 | +28.4 | +0.4 | +23.4 | -0.9 | -3.4 | -10.7 | -2.6 | +4.4 | +10.1 | · | · |
| 2025 | -14.0 | -10.3 | -13.1 | +4.7 | +57.4 | +8.6 | +5.8 | -6.4 | -14.8 | -7.3 | -0.2 | -10.2 |
| 2024 | +2.2 | -6.1 | -15.2 | +16.8 | -10.4 | +11.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -6.0 | -13.4 | -1.2 | +5.5 |
| 2023 | +15.4 | -13.5 | -10.4 | +14.3 | -8.1 | -1.7 | +23.0 | +20.3 | +20.7 | -0.3 | +5.4 | -8.2 |
| 2022 | +2.1 | -18.4 | -12.3 | +14.4 | -8.9 | -5.1 | +17.6 | +15.4 | +0.0 | +4.6 | +4.4 | +14.9 |
| 2021 | +8.2 | -4.6 | -1.0 | +3.7 | +11.5 | -2.7 | +32.6 | -15.5 | +7.8 | -2.3 | -14.1 | +10.4 |
| 2020 | -2.0 | -31.3 | -13.0 | +40.0 | -10.7 | +11.7 | +14.7 | +12.0 | +10.7 | -5.9 | +8.5 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | -9.5 | -6.6 | +2.9 | +1.6 | -12.7 | -17.5 | -28.8 | +8.7 | +5.0 | +7.2 | +7.6 | +7.7 |
| 2018 | -5.1 | -5.3 | +0.1 | +8.6 | +0.4 | -12.5 | +13.0 | -5.6 | -14.7 | +13.4 | -7.0 | +7.4 |
| 2017 | -5.5 | +9.8 | +12.7 | +6.8 | -4.1 | +8.0 | +10.7 | -9.9 | +5.9 | +30.9 | +12.9 | -3.9 |
| 2016 | -14.7 | -13.6 | +7.1 | +7.6 | -5.5 | +8.4 | +7.8 | -11.0 | -0.6 | +11.6 | -16.6 | -7.0 |
| 2015 | +21.7 | -15.9 | -10.9 | +13.3 | +0.7 | -3.7 | +42.8 | +12.7 | -8.4 | +20.9 | +7.7 | +4.3 |
| 2014 | -14.1 | +11.6 | -0.5 | +10.7 | +18.0 | +33.9 | -13.3 | +1.4 | +5.5 | +9.0 | +8.3 | -1.6 |
| 2013 | -5.1 | -15.1 | +6.1 | -6.8 | -12.9 | +1.5 | -3.4 | -0.3 | +1.3 | +13.5 | -4.5 | +21.3 |
| 2012 | +23.5 | -4.0 | -13.5 | +3.3 | -1.8 | +2.0 | -14.5 | -2.9 | +5.9 | -0.7 | +7.0 | +1.7 |
| 2011 | -3.2 | -1.3 | +20.0 | -5.9 | +3.4 | +5.5 | +7.8 | +5.5 | -2.3 | +20.5 | -10.5 | +6.2 |
| 2010 | +0.9 | -3.5 | +7.7 | +11.9 | +3.0 | -12.4 | +3.1 | +2.6 | +36.2 | -0.7 | -21.6 | +18.5 |
| 2009 | -10.3 | -18.3 | +2.7 | +24.4 | +52.2 | -20.0 | +72.9 | -18.6 | +9.5 | +12.7 | -0.8 | +19.5 |
| 2008 | -26.8 | -8.9 | -18.2 | +15.8 | -8.5 | -22.3 | -14.4 | +11.5 | -18.5 | -36.5 | -27.4 | +7.7 |
| 2007 | · | · | · | · | · | · | -15.1 | -7.9 | +5.7 | -6.9 | -5.5 | +30.5 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — October 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUTHOOTFIN Muthoot Finance Limited | 13/15 yrs up | 87% | +4.4% | -5.1% |
| 2 | POKARNA Pokarna Limited | 9/10 yrs up | 90% | +9.7% | +1.2% |
| 3 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 4 | TBZ Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +12.3% | +19.5% |
| 5 | RAMCOCEM The Ramco Cements Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 6 | OBEROIRLTY Oberoi Realty Limited | 12/15 yrs up | 80% | +6.1% | -3.5% |
| 7 | PDSL PDS Limited | 9/11 yrs up | 82% | +9.4% | -2.8% |
| 8 | MCX Multi Comm. Exc. | 11/14 yrs up | 79% | +8.9% | -4.2% |
| 9 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +6.7% | -3.8% |
| 10 | SUZLON Suzlon Energy Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.8% | +6.4% |
| 11 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.2% | -6.6% |
| 12 | IFBAGRO IFB Agro Industries Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +11.7% | -3.1% |
| 13 | GMDCLTD Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +8.5% | -7.2% |
| 14 | USHAMART Usha Martin Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +6.0% | -1.5% |
| 15 | GSFC Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.6% | -1.3% |
| 16 | ICICIBANK ICICI Bank Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.5% | +5.7% |
| 17 | SHRIRAMFIN Shriram Finance Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.8% | -4.3% |
| 18 | KABRAEXTRU Kabra Extrusion Technik Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.2% | +0.4% |
| 19 | HIRECT Hind Rectifiers Limited | 14/19 yrs up | 74% | +4.7% | -2.7% |
| 20 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +9.5% | +2.0% |
| 21 | KECL Kirloskar Electric Company Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -1.9% |
| 22 | IMFA Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -0.9% |
| 23 | DBREALTY Valor Estate Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +7.4% | -9.7% |
| 24 | ATULAUTO Atul Auto Limited | 10/13 yrs up | 77% | +8.3% | -5.6% |
| 25 | MINDTECK Mindteck (India) Limited | 8/10 yrs up | 80% | +5.1% | -2.8% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
Current quarter: Q4 2026
historically up 63% of years (12/19)
avg +8.1%
so far +10.1%
By quarter, Q2 (Apr–Jun) has been the strongest for NELCAST: up in 14 of 19 years, averaging +14.0%. Q1 (Jan–Mar) has been the softest (-11.6% on average). The current quarter (Q4) has historically closed higher 63% of the time.
📊 Average return by quarter
Calendar quarters, close-to-close. Hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Quarter-by-quarter returns
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | -11.6 | +14.0 | +10.6 | +8.1 |
| Up % | 32% | 74% | 45% | 63% |
| 2026 | +10.5 | +18.2 | -9.2 | +10.1 |
| 2025 | -32.9 | +78.9 | -15.6 | -16.9 |
| 2024 | -18.6 | +16.4 | -8.4 | -9.7 |
| 2023 | -10.6 | +3.3 | +78.5 | -3.5 |
| 2022 | -27.0 | -1.1 | +35.6 | +25.5 |
| 2021 | +2.2 | +12.5 | +20.8 | -7.4 |
| 2020 | -41.4 | +39.6 | +42.3 | +4.1 |
| 2019 | -13.0 | -26.9 | -18.7 | +24.2 |
| 2018 | -10.1 | -4.6 | -9.0 | +13.2 |
| 2017 | +16.9 | +10.6 | +5.6 | +42.0 |
| 2016 | -21.2 | +10.2 | -4.7 | -13.4 |
| 2015 | -8.8 | +9.8 | +47.4 | +35.7 |
| 2014 | -4.6 | +74.9 | -7.3 | +16.2 |
| 2013 | -14.5 | -17.5 | -2.4 | +31.4 |
| 2012 | +2.5 | +3.5 | -12.1 | +8.1 |
| 2011 | +14.7 | +2.6 | +11.1 | +14.5 |
| 2010 | +4.8 | +0.9 | +44.1 | -7.8 |
| 2009 | -24.7 | +51.5 | +54.0 | +33.7 |
| 2008 | -45.5 | -17.6 | -22.2 | -50.3 |
| 2007 | · | · | -17.3 | +14.8 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — Q4 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RHIM RHI MAGNESITA INDIA LIMITED | 13/14 yrs up | 93% | +14.0% | -3.8% |
| 2 | APOLLOHOSP Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited | 19/22 yrs up | 86% | +6.2% | -3.4% |
| 3 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 17/20 yrs up | 85% | +24.7% | -6.6% |
| 4 | STAR Strides Pharma Science Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +6.3% | -6.7% |
| 5 | DRREDDY Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +4.5% | +0.0% |
| 6 | PROZONER Prozone Realty Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +19.8% | -3.9% |
| 7 | POLYMED Poly Medicure Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +9.2% | -4.8% |
| 8 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 16/20 yrs up | 80% | +23.2% | -3.8% |
| 9 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 13/16 yrs up | 81% | +22.7% | +2.0% |
| 10 | FIEMIND Fiem Industries Limited | 15/19 yrs up | 79% | +14.2% | +2.2% |
| 11 | BSOFT BIRLASOFT LIMITED | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +21.8% | +17.1% |
| 12 | SONATSOFTW Sonata Software Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.2% | -4.0% |
| 13 | FACT Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.1% | -3.3% |
| 14 | TVSHLTD TVS Holdings Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.4% | -5.0% |
| 15 | APARINDS Apar Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.1% | -7.8% |
| 16 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +11.0% | +2.3% |
| 17 | EPL EPL Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +10.4% | -2.1% |
| 18 | TORNTPHARM Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.5% | -5.0% |
| 19 | WIPRO Wipro Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.4% | +16.3% |
| 20 | HINDALCO Hindalco Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.6% | -3.6% |
| 21 | VTL Vardhman Textiles Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.4% | -0.5% |
| 22 | HDFCBANK HDFC Bank Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +6.2% | +2.8% |
| 23 | COROMANDEL Coromandel International Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +5.9% | +0.0% |
| 24 | ASIANPAINT Asian Paints Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +4.3% | -2.9% |
| 25 | JPOLYINVST Jindal Poly Investment and Finance Company Limited | 10/12 yrs up | 83% | +34.9% | +2.1% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
❓ NELCAST seasonality — FAQ
How often does Nelcast Limited rise in October?
Historically NELCAST has closed October with a gain in 10 out of 19 years — a 53% hit rate — averaging +3.7% for the month (data since 2007).
Which is the best month to buy Nelcast Limited historically?
Based on 19 years of data, April has been NELCAST's strongest month: positive in 89% of years with an average return of +11.0%. Past seasonality does not guarantee future results.
Which is the weakest month for Nelcast Limited?
February has historically been the weakest month for NELCAST, with an average move of -6.7% and gains in just 3 of 19 years.
Which quarter is historically strongest for Nelcast Limited?
Q2 (Apr–Jun) — positive in 14 of 19 years with an average return of +14.0%.
Does seasonality guarantee future returns?
No. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction. It reflects how a stock happened to trade in past calendar periods and can break at any time. Use it as one research input alongside fundamentals and technicals, and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
Methodology: returns are close-to-close over calendar months and quarters, computed from adjusted daily prices since 2007. A period's return is only counted when the immediately preceding period also traded. Statistics cover completed periods; the current period is shown separately as “so far”. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction or investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
