📅 N R Agarwal Industries Limited Seasonality
N R Agarwal Industries Limited (NRAIL) has ended October higher in 5 of the last 9 years (56%), with an average October move of -0.8%. The strongest October was 2018 (+16.5%) and the weakest was 2019 (-17.5%).
NRAIL · data since 2017 (10 yrs)
Prices through 16 Oct 2026
5/9
Octobers closed higher
-0.8%
Avg October move
+9.3%
October so far
April
Best month · avg +10.6%
February
Weakest month · avg -9.6%
10
Years of history
Current month: October 2026
historically up 56% of years (5/9)
avg -0.8%
best 2018 +16.5%
worst 2019 -17.5%
so far +9.3%
N R Agarwal Industries Limited's historically strongest month is April — up in 6 of 9 years (67%) with an average gain of +10.6%. The weakest month has been February, averaging -9.6% with gains in only 2 of 9 years. The most consistent month by hit rate is August (7/10 years positive).
📊 Average return by month
Bars above the zero line are months NRAIL typically gained; hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Month-by-month returns (2017–2026)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | +1.7 | -9.6 | -5.1 | +10.6 | -2.8 | +5.6 | +3.3 | +10.4 | +6.2 | -0.8 | -2.5 | +4.9 |
| Up % | 44% | 22% | 22% | 67% | 40% | 60% | 50% | 70% | 70% | 56% | 33% | 67% |
| 2026 | -8.6 | +4.0 | -12.3 | +18.8 | -6.4 | -1.6 | +7.2 | +7.7 | +31.3 | +9.3 | · | · |
| 2025 | -5.8 | -19.8 | -15.9 | +10.1 | +8.8 | +38.4 | -1.2 | +11.7 | +6.3 | +0.6 | +7.1 | +3.8 |
| 2024 | +27.8 | -14.9 | -0.2 | +10.6 | -14.6 | +23.4 | -6.7 | -11.7 | -12.7 | -2.3 | -1.7 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | -9.5 | -16.1 | -8.9 | +25.6 | +12.2 | +3.1 | -3.2 | +17.7 | +7.5 | +0.6 | -2.2 | +11.5 |
| 2022 | +2.5 | -18.6 | +23.0 | -0.0 | -10.3 | -6.6 | +12.5 | +49.5 | +4.6 | +6.4 | -23.1 | -8.0 |
| 2021 | -3.8 | +12.3 | -1.2 | -12.7 | +7.9 | +4.7 | +37.4 | -2.6 | +3.6 | -8.9 | -19.4 | +9.4 |
| 2020 | +17.4 | -9.0 | -33.0 | +24.2 | -5.6 | +30.1 | -12.9 | +5.7 | -6.8 | -7.3 | +5.0 | +16.9 |
| 2019 | -16.4 | -16.6 | +9.6 | -5.3 | -6.3 | -21.3 | -24.8 | +29.6 | +30.5 | -17.5 | -10.5 | -0.6 |
| 2018 | +11.5 | -7.4 | -7.0 | +24.2 | -16.8 | -14.0 | +16.7 | +9.9 | -3.6 | +16.5 | -16.1 | -4.8 |
| 2017 | · | · | · | · | +3.5 | +0.1 | +7.9 | -13.4 | +1.5 | +5.1 | +38.2 | +14.9 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — October 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUTHOOTFIN Muthoot Finance Limited | 13/15 yrs up | 87% | +4.4% | -5.1% |
| 2 | POKARNA Pokarna Limited | 9/10 yrs up | 90% | +9.7% | +1.2% |
| 3 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 4 | TBZ Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +12.3% | +19.5% |
| 5 | RAMCOCEM The Ramco Cements Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| 6 | OBEROIRLTY Oberoi Realty Limited | 12/15 yrs up | 80% | +6.1% | -3.5% |
| 7 | PDSL PDS Limited | 9/11 yrs up | 82% | +9.4% | -2.8% |
| 8 | MCX Multi Comm. Exc. | 11/14 yrs up | 79% | +8.9% | -4.2% |
| 9 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +6.7% | -3.8% |
| 10 | SUZLON Suzlon Energy Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.8% | +6.4% |
| 11 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 15/20 yrs up | 75% | +4.2% | -6.6% |
| 12 | IFBAGRO IFB Agro Industries Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +11.7% | -3.1% |
| 13 | GMDCLTD Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +8.5% | -7.2% |
| 14 | USHAMART Usha Martin Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +6.0% | -1.5% |
| 15 | GSFC Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.6% | -1.3% |
| 16 | ICICIBANK ICICI Bank Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +4.5% | +5.7% |
| 17 | SHRIRAMFIN Shriram Finance Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.8% | -4.3% |
| 18 | KABRAEXTRU Kabra Extrusion Technik Limited | 16/22 yrs up | 73% | +2.2% | +0.4% |
| 19 | HIRECT Hind Rectifiers Limited | 14/19 yrs up | 74% | +4.7% | -2.7% |
| 20 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +9.5% | +2.0% |
| 21 | KECL Kirloskar Electric Company Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -1.9% |
| 22 | IMFA Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +8.0% | -0.9% |
| 23 | DBREALTY Valor Estate Limited | 12/16 yrs up | 75% | +7.4% | -9.7% |
| 24 | ATULAUTO Atul Auto Limited | 10/13 yrs up | 77% | +8.3% | -5.6% |
| 25 | MINDTECK Mindteck (India) Limited | 8/10 yrs up | 80% | +5.1% | -2.8% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
Current quarter: Q4 2026
historically up 44% of years (4/9)
avg +2.3%
so far +9.3%
By quarter, Q3 (Jul–Sep) has been the strongest for NRAIL: up in 7 of 10 years, averaging +20.9%. Q1 (Jan–Mar) has been the softest (-13.5% on average). The current quarter (Q4) has historically closed higher 44% of the time.
📊 Average return by quarter
Calendar quarters, close-to-close. Hover for hit rates.
🗓️ Quarter-by-quarter returns
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg | -13.5 | +14.5 | +20.9 | +2.3 |
| Up % | 33% | 56% | 70% | 44% |
| 2026 | -16.6 | +9.4 | +51.5 | +9.3 |
| 2025 | -36.4 | +65.7 | +17.3 | +11.8 |
| 2024 | +8.5 | +16.5 | -28.0 | -3.2 |
| 2023 | -30.8 | +45.3 | +22.5 | +9.7 |
| 2022 | +2.6 | -16.3 | +75.8 | -24.8 |
| 2021 | +6.8 | -1.3 | +38.6 | -19.7 |
| 2020 | -28.4 | +52.5 | -14.1 | +13.8 |
| 2019 | -23.6 | -30.2 | +27.2 | -26.6 |
| 2018 | -4.0 | -11.2 | +23.8 | -7.0 |
| 2017 | · | · | -5.1 | +66.9 |
🏆 Top 25 seasonal picks — Q4 2026
| # | Stock | Record | Win % | Avg return | So far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RHIM RHI MAGNESITA INDIA LIMITED | 13/14 yrs up | 93% | +14.0% | -3.8% |
| 2 | APOLLOHOSP Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited | 19/22 yrs up | 86% | +6.2% | -3.4% |
| 3 | RSYSTEMS R Systems International Limited | 17/20 yrs up | 85% | +24.7% | -6.6% |
| 4 | STAR Strides Pharma Science Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +6.3% | -6.7% |
| 5 | DRREDDY Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited | 18/22 yrs up | 82% | +4.5% | +0.0% |
| 6 | PROZONER Prozone Realty Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +19.8% | -3.9% |
| 7 | POLYMED Poly Medicure Limited | 12/14 yrs up | 86% | +9.2% | -4.8% |
| 8 | INDOTECH Indo Tech Transformers Limited | 16/20 yrs up | 80% | +23.2% | -3.8% |
| 9 | TI Tilaknagar Industries Limited | 13/16 yrs up | 81% | +22.7% | +2.0% |
| 10 | FIEMIND Fiem Industries Limited | 15/19 yrs up | 79% | +14.2% | +2.2% |
| 11 | BSOFT BIRLASOFT LIMITED | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +21.8% | +17.1% |
| 12 | SONATSOFTW Sonata Software Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.2% | -4.0% |
| 13 | FACT Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +20.1% | -3.3% |
| 14 | TVSHLTD TVS Holdings Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.4% | -5.0% |
| 15 | APARINDS Apar Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +15.1% | -7.8% |
| 16 | STYRENIX Styrenix Performance Materials Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +11.0% | +2.3% |
| 17 | EPL EPL Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +10.4% | -2.1% |
| 18 | TORNTPHARM Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.5% | -5.0% |
| 19 | WIPRO Wipro Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +8.4% | +16.3% |
| 20 | HINDALCO Hindalco Industries Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.6% | -3.6% |
| 21 | VTL Vardhman Textiles Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +7.4% | -0.5% |
| 22 | HDFCBANK HDFC Bank Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +6.2% | +2.8% |
| 23 | COROMANDEL Coromandel International Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +5.9% | +0.0% |
| 24 | ASIANPAINT Asian Paints Limited | 17/22 yrs up | 77% | +4.3% | -2.9% |
| 25 | JPOLYINVST Jindal Poly Investment and Finance Company Limited | 10/12 yrs up | 83% | +34.9% | +2.1% |
“So far” = return in the current (incomplete) period. Full methodology and the
past-performance record of these lists: Seasonality hub →
❓ NRAIL seasonality — FAQ
How often does N R Agarwal Industries Limited rise in October?
Historically NRAIL has closed October with a gain in 5 out of 9 years — a 56% hit rate — averaging -0.8% for the month (data since 2017).
Which is the best month to buy N R Agarwal Industries Limited historically?
Based on 9 years of data, April has been NRAIL's strongest month: positive in 67% of years with an average return of +10.6%. Past seasonality does not guarantee future results.
Which is the weakest month for N R Agarwal Industries Limited?
February has historically been the weakest month for NRAIL, with an average move of -9.6% and gains in just 2 of 9 years.
Which quarter is historically strongest for N R Agarwal Industries Limited?
Q3 (Jul–Sep) — positive in 7 of 10 years with an average return of +20.9%.
Does seasonality guarantee future returns?
No. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction. It reflects how a stock happened to trade in past calendar periods and can break at any time. Use it as one research input alongside fundamentals and technicals, and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
Methodology: returns are close-to-close over calendar months and quarters, computed from adjusted daily prices since 2017. A period's return is only counted when the immediately preceding period also traded. Statistics cover completed periods; the current period is shown separately as “so far”. Seasonality is a historical tendency, not a prediction or investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
