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ADX Trend Rider

Only trade when the trend has measurable strength — ADX filters out the sideways markets where trend systems bleed.

Trend following Data as of 2026-11-02 close
1 · Rules

▶ Entry

ADX(14) above 25 with +DI above −DI and close above the 50-day EMA.

Screener form: adx14 > 25 AND plus_di > minus_di AND close > ema50 — ADX (14) > 25 and +DI (14) > −DI (14) and Close > EMA 50.

■ Exit

+DI crosses below −DI, or close falls below the 50-day EMA.

Signals are read on the close; the backtest fills at the next session's open.

2 · Stocks triggering the entry today (125)
Stock Sector Close Chg Score RSI (14)ADX (14)Relative volume (RVOL)
ANANDRATHIAnand Rathi Wealth Limited Financial Services ₹2,276.90 +1.11% 94 66.29 25.07 0.42×
ORIENTHOTOriental Hotels Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹163.59 +1.70% 92 73.38 34.14 0.67×
KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Limited Bank ₹458.35 -0.70% 91 66.04 36.05 0.76×
GESHIPThe Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited Infrastructure ₹1,600.40 +0.43% 91 63.29 27.19 0.44×
SHREEJISPGShreeji Shipping Global Limited Infrastructure ₹873.65 +3.60% 89 71.73 26.54 0.75×
INDHOTELThe Indian Hotels Company Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹822.50 +1.34% 88 72.05 31.15 1.02×
GCSLGretex Corporate Services Limited Financial Services ₹770.65 +0.42% 88 78.49 32.26 0.86×
SMSPHARMASMS Pharmaceuticals Limited Pharma ₹504.15 -1.41% 87 66.27 27.22 1.39×
SHYAMMETLShyam Metalics and Energy Limited Metal ₹1,191.00 +2.42% 87 62.25 25.29 2.94×
RATNAVEERRatnaveer Precision Engineering Limited Metal ₹379.20 +5.26% 87 69.78 31.21 1.94×
BHARTIARTLBharti Airtel Limited Infrastructure ₹1,989.90 +0.82% 86 67.09 28.29 0.76×
TANLATanla Platforms Limited IT ₹645.45 +2.92% 85 76.40 43.96 1.19×
SPECTRUMSpectrum Electrical Industries Limited Electrical Equipment ₹3,982.20 +0.71% 85 69.20 42.01 1.24×
SGMARTSG Mart Limited Metal ₹878.90 +2.63% 85 69.89 37.52 0.77×
KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited Chemicals ₹235.07 +2.85% 85 74.86 25.72 1.03×
SOUTHBANKThe South Indian Bank Limited Bank ₹54.51 -1.77% 84 60.96 32.58 0.48×
GLOBALGlobal Education Limited Media ₹145.70 +1.36% 84 65.73 26.73 0.61×
AGARWALEYEDr. Agarwal's Health Care Limited Healthcare ₹513.85 +0.91% 84 67.41 29.95 0.91×
PVRINOXPVR INOX Limited Media ₹1,512.70 +1.18% 83 71.01 44.91 0.66×
PPLPHARMAPiramal Pharma Limited Pharma ₹239.92 +0.42% 83 73.55 29.51 0.87×
PNBPunjab National Bank Bank ₹123.06 +0.17% 83 61.18 26.19 0.66×
DRREDDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Pharma ₹1,342.00 -0.74% 82 71.76 29.97 0.88×
ALGOQUANTAlgoquant Fintech Limited Financial Services ₹78.36 +2.81% 82 69.43 39.44 0.95×
THELEELALeela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹671.05 +5.80% 81 70.66 38.08 3.23×
TECHMTech Mahindra Limited IT ₹1,786.90 -0.22% 81 65.08 31.40 0.53×
PASHUPATIPashupati Cotspin Limited Textiles ₹141.62 +5.22% 81 87.48 66.47 2.96×
NHPCNHPC Limited Energy ₹78.78 +1.34% 81 66.06 28.46 0.81×
ALIVUSAlivus Life Sciences Limited Pharma ₹1,447.60 +2.28% 81 66.57 27.78 4.05×
AARTIDRUGSAarti Drugs Limited Pharma ₹453.80 +4.27% 81 64.40 28.85 1.00×
WELSPUNLIVWelspun Living Limited Textiles ₹242.34 +10.62% 80 67.20 26.53 11.58×
MPHASISMphasiS Limited IT ₹2,563.70 +1.51% 80 59.90 30.59 0.70×
63MOONS63 moons technologies limited IT ₹961.50 +1.33% 80 67.84 27.68 1.11×
OMNIOmnitech Engineering Limited Engineering & Capital Goods ₹691.25 +3.55% 79 58.96 27.93 0.21×
GRASIMGrasim Industries Limited Textiles ₹3,057.10 +2.54% 79 57.81 35.12 1.57×
SHREEPUSHKShree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers Limited Chemicals ₹569.95 -5.42% 78 63.46 31.90 3.07×
LTTSL&T Technology Services Limited IT ₹4,225.70 -1.27% 78 71.39 47.14 0.29×
HITECHCORPHitech Corporation Limited Packaging ₹410.75 -0.41% 78 77.09 42.51 0.19×
BOROLTDBorosil Limited Glass ₹312.35 +9.06% 78 70.39 28.37 9.34×
UYFINCORPU. Y. Fincorp Limited Financial Services ₹29.94 -0.89% 77 76.82 30.26 1.45×
ZENSARTECHZensar Technologies Limited IT ₹543.55 +1.50% 76 71.57 39.60 1.01×
WESTLIFEWESTLIFE FOODWORLD LIMITED Hotels & Resorts ₹611.35 +2.96% 76 59.43 35.24 0.38×
LTLarsen & Toubro Limited Infrastructure ₹3,939.90 +1.76% 76 65.92 32.88 0.98×
TCSTata Consultancy Services Limited IT ₹2,501.70 -0.04% 75 67.05 38.94 0.47×
NILKAMALNilkamal Limited Plastic Products ₹1,915.80 -1.69% 75 57.36 31.29 0.89×
TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited Financial Services ₹157.96 +0.03% 74 61.60 27.75 1.07×
SSWLSteel Strips Wheels Limited Auto ₹486.95 -1.36% 74 62.78 32.31 0.40×
KINGFAKingfa Science & Technology (India) Limited Plastic Products ₹6,687.00 -1.42% 74 55.44 27.12 0.50×
FSLFirstsource Solutions Limited IT ₹294.50 +0.55% 74 58.35 36.26 0.32×
APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited Healthcare ₹8,459.00 +0.13% 74 59.91 28.74 0.79×
WIPROWipro Limited IT ₹196.40 -0.96% 73 70.47 38.98 0.64×

👀 Setting up (125)

Close to the entry: adx14 > 25 AND plus_di > minus_di AND close > ema50
Stock Sector Close Chg Score RSI (14)ADX (14)Relative volume (RVOL)
ANANDRATHIAnand Rathi Wealth Limited Financial Services ₹2,276.90 +1.11% 94 66.29 25.07 0.42×
ORIENTHOTOriental Hotels Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹163.59 +1.70% 92 73.38 34.14 0.67×
KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Limited Bank ₹458.35 -0.70% 91 66.04 36.05 0.76×
GESHIPThe Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited Infrastructure ₹1,600.40 +0.43% 91 63.29 27.19 0.44×
SHREEJISPGShreeji Shipping Global Limited Infrastructure ₹873.65 +3.60% 89 71.73 26.54 0.75×
INDHOTELThe Indian Hotels Company Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹822.50 +1.34% 88 72.05 31.15 1.02×
GCSLGretex Corporate Services Limited Financial Services ₹770.65 +0.42% 88 78.49 32.26 0.86×
SMSPHARMASMS Pharmaceuticals Limited Pharma ₹504.15 -1.41% 87 66.27 27.22 1.39×
SHYAMMETLShyam Metalics and Energy Limited Metal ₹1,191.00 +2.42% 87 62.25 25.29 2.94×
RATNAVEERRatnaveer Precision Engineering Limited Metal ₹379.20 +5.26% 87 69.78 31.21 1.94×
BHARTIARTLBharti Airtel Limited Infrastructure ₹1,989.90 +0.82% 86 67.09 28.29 0.76×
TANLATanla Platforms Limited IT ₹645.45 +2.92% 85 76.40 43.96 1.19×
SPECTRUMSpectrum Electrical Industries Limited Electrical Equipment ₹3,982.20 +0.71% 85 69.20 42.01 1.24×
SGMARTSG Mart Limited Metal ₹878.90 +2.63% 85 69.89 37.52 0.77×
KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited Chemicals ₹235.07 +2.85% 85 74.86 25.72 1.03×
SOUTHBANKThe South Indian Bank Limited Bank ₹54.51 -1.77% 84 60.96 32.58 0.48×
GLOBALGlobal Education Limited Media ₹145.70 +1.36% 84 65.73 26.73 0.61×
AGARWALEYEDr. Agarwal's Health Care Limited Healthcare ₹513.85 +0.91% 84 67.41 29.95 0.91×
PVRINOXPVR INOX Limited Media ₹1,512.70 +1.18% 83 71.01 44.91 0.66×
PPLPHARMAPiramal Pharma Limited Pharma ₹239.92 +0.42% 83 73.55 29.51 0.87×
PNBPunjab National Bank Bank ₹123.06 +0.17% 83 61.18 26.19 0.66×
DRREDDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Pharma ₹1,342.00 -0.74% 82 71.76 29.97 0.88×
ALGOQUANTAlgoquant Fintech Limited Financial Services ₹78.36 +2.81% 82 69.43 39.44 0.95×
THELEELALeela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited Hotels & Resorts ₹671.05 +5.80% 81 70.66 38.08 3.23×
TECHMTech Mahindra Limited IT ₹1,786.90 -0.22% 81 65.08 31.40 0.53×
PASHUPATIPashupati Cotspin Limited Textiles ₹141.62 +5.22% 81 87.48 66.47 2.96×
NHPCNHPC Limited Energy ₹78.78 +1.34% 81 66.06 28.46 0.81×
ALIVUSAlivus Life Sciences Limited Pharma ₹1,447.60 +2.28% 81 66.57 27.78 4.05×
AARTIDRUGSAarti Drugs Limited Pharma ₹453.80 +4.27% 81 64.40 28.85 1.00×
WELSPUNLIVWelspun Living Limited Textiles ₹242.34 +10.62% 80 67.20 26.53 11.58×
3 · Backtest — Nifty 50 stocks since 2014
2,081
Trades
34.9%
Win rate
+1.56%
Average trade
1.69
Profit factor
19.5d
Avg holding
+1.8%
Median CAGR / stock
Buy & hold +16.1%
-39.3%
Median max drawdown
Buy & hold -53.7%
27.8%
Time in market
2.0%
Stocks where it beat B&H

🛡️ Robustness — ADX threshold

The published rule uses 25. If the edge vanishes one step either side, it was probably fitted to history.

ADX thresholdTradesWinAvg tradePFMedian CAGR
20337533.2%+1.25%1.64+2.3%
25208134.9%+1.56%1.69+1.8%
30129137.6%+1.89%1.75+1.6%

Robust The average trade is positive at every tested setting. Profitable average trade in 69.2% of years with 5+ trades.

📅 By year (walk-forward view)

YearTradesWinAvg trade
201416644.6%+4.77%
201513123.7%-1.30%
201613033.1%+0.96%
201717737.3%+1.58%
201816934.9%+1.13%
201916026.2%-0.74%
202016035.0%+2.46%
202119847.0%+4.95%
202217028.2%-0.79%
202314735.4%+3.61%
202418838.3%+2.28%
202515228.3%-0.80%
202613335.3%+0.52%
Most recent trades in the test
StockEntryExitReturn
APOLLOHOSP2026-11-022026-11-02 (open)+0.26%
BHARTIARTL2026-10-302026-11-02 (open)+0.25%
DRREDDY2026-10-292026-11-02 (open)-0.31%
HCLTECH2026-10-232026-11-02 (open)-1.33%
INDIGO2026-11-022026-11-02 (open)-0.83%
KOTAKBANK2026-10-012026-11-02 (open)+7.38%
LT2026-10-302026-11-02 (open)+2.47%
POWERGRID2026-11-022026-11-02 (open)+0.25%
TATACONSUM2026-10-302026-11-02 (open)-0.16%
TCS2026-10-162026-11-02 (open)+4.82%
TECHM2026-10-262026-11-02 (open)+1.30%
INFY2026-10-212026-10-26-3.64%
TRENT2026-10-072026-10-22-3.51%
DRREDDY2026-09-222026-10-09-2.43%
ETERNAL2026-09-242026-10-01-6.71%
4 · Risk

Enters after the trend is established, so the first part of each move is missed.

Test assumptions: long only, one position per stock, next-open fills, 0.2% round-trip cost, split-adjusted prices without dividends, current Nifty 50 members (survivorship bias). Past results do not predict future returns.

5 · Test it on any stock

Open the AI Backtester with these rules pre-filled, pick a stock and a date range, and add your own stop-loss or target.

Buy when ADX(14) is above 25 and +DI is above -DI and close is above the 50-day EMA. Sell when +DI falls below -DI or close falls below the 50-day EMA.
🧪 Backtest on any stock Open the entry in the screener
🔗 Other trend following strategies
20/50 EMA Crossover50/200 Golden CrossSuperTrend (10,3)

⚠️ Educational technical analysis computed automatically from end-of-day NSE prices — not investment advice. Flash Finance is not SEBI-registered. Indicators describe what price has done; they do not predict what it will do. Verify levels on a live chart and manage risk before acting.

⚠️ How this site is made: Market data pages are computed automatically from NSE/BSE publications and company filings; news articles and announcement analyses are written with AI assistance, with a human in the loop: our editors review what the AI produces. Both can contain errors. Verify with the original sources before any investment decision. Not investment advice; Flash Finance is not SEBI-registered. How we use AI