HomeStrategy Library50/200 Golden Cross

50/200 Golden Cross

The long-term trend filter used by many allocators: be invested only while the medium-term average is above the long-term one.

Trend following Data as of 2026-09-18 close
1 · Rules

▶ Entry

50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA.

Screener form: sma50 crosses above sma200 — SMA 50 crosses above SMA 200.

■ Exit

50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA.

Signals are read on the close; the backtest fills at the next session's open.

2 · Stocks triggering the entry today (3)
Stock Sector Close Chg Score RSI (14)ADX (14)Relative volume (RVOL)
KAYAKaya Limited ₹341.00 +4.99% 62 54.97 30.83 0.42×
KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Limited Bank ₹412.50 -0.96% 48 51.25 32.31 1.21×
VGUARDV-Guard Industries Limited ₹325.40 -1.44% 45 47.33 31.83 1.30×

👀 Setting up (508)

Close to the entry: sma50 > sma200 AND close > sma50
Stock Sector Close Chg Score RSI (14)ADX (14)Relative volume (RVOL)
AEGISVOPAKAegis Vopak Terminals Limited ₹314.95 +1.37% 96 69.73 26.60 1.62×
NEOGENNeogen Chemicals Limited Chemicals ₹2,488 +3.87% 94 69.81 28.61 1.94×
KAMDHENUKamdhenu Limited Metal ₹41.05 +3.92% 94 72.39 21.57 1.20×
CONFIPETConfidence Petroleum India Limited ₹91.95 +5.98% 94 66.40 34.17 1.27×
AUROPHARMAAurobindo Pharma Limited Pharma ₹1,734 +2.60% 94 63.54 21.65 1.64×
GPTHEALTHGPT Healthcare Limited Healthcare ₹166.21 +1.59% 93 66.45 28.44 3.05×
GCSLGretex Corporate Services Limited Financial Services ₹618.55 +4.07% 93 69.27 21.37 0.90×
ABDLAllied Blenders and Distillers Limited FMCG ₹647.60 -0.84% 91 61.51 16.03 1.14×
TBZTribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited Consumer Durables ₹603.55 +4.99% 90 82.35 52.04 0.34×
SWANDEFSwan Defence and Heavy Industries Limited ₹2,746 +0.94% 90 68.96 15.48 1.15×
SANSERASansera Engineering Limited Auto ₹4,260 +6.03% 90 65.40 29.59 1.71×
MAXESTATESMax Estates Limited Infrastructure ₹594.00 +2.84% 90 76.25 39.03 0.66×
BODALCHEMBodal Chemicals Limited Chemicals ₹191.23 +5.00% 90 82.37 62.48 0.33×
STLNETWORKSTL Networks Limited ₹42.95 +4.99% 89 90.32 46.39 0.29×
NRLNupur Recyclers Limited ₹143.67 +4.77% 89 76.70 49.18 2.30×
BHAGYANGRBhagyanagar India Limited Energy ₹446.70 +0.04% 89 66.32 16.09 2.00×
ACEAction Construction Equipment Limited ₹1,229 +1.96% 89 70.21 24.13 2.98×
VALIANTORGValiant Organics Limited Chemicals ₹426.65 +4.46% 88 81.74 33.83 2.71×
SHREEJISPGShreeji Shipping Global Limited Infrastructure ₹708.05 +2.47% 88 64.19 26.47 0.71×
GMMPFAUDLRGMM Pfaudler Limited ₹1,467 +7.60% 88 88.56 65.97 2.73×
FILATEXFilatex India Limited ₹93.83 +3.85% 88 68.33 26.66 1.33×
SPLPETROSupreme Petrochem Limited Oil & Gas ₹865.70 +7.27% 87 71.95 30.20 3.70×
PVRINOXPVR INOX Limited Media ₹1,325 +4.09% 87 65.58 33.01 1.40×
PFOCUSPrime Focus Limited Media ₹344.35 +2.81% 87 74.01 34.50 3.75×
NOCILNOCIL Limited Chemicals ₹194.56 +4.40% 87 68.22 34.99 1.17×
ADANIPORTSAdani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ₹1,824 +4.93% 87 64.29 18.94 1.77×
ACMESOLARAcme Solar Holdings Limited Infrastructure ₹435.25 +5.82% 87 66.98 26.90 6.06×
TALBROAUTOTalbros Automotive Components Limited Auto ₹476.70 +9.54% 86 74.86 21.29 8.45×
METROPOLISMetropolis Healthcare Limited Healthcare ₹597.45 +1.90% 86 58.79 13.43 0.86×
LGEINDIALG Electronics India Limited Consumer Durables ₹1,697 +2.66% 86 61.38 28.08 2.86×
3 · Backtest — Nifty 50 stocks since 2014
408
Trades
50.5%
Win rate
+19.14%
Average trade
4.39
Profit factor
217.9d
Avg holding
+7.4%
Median CAGR / stock
Buy & hold +15.8%
-46.7%
Median max drawdown
Buy & hold -53.7%
60.9%
Time in market
6.1%
Stocks where it beat B&H

🛡️ Robustness — Slow SMA

The published rule uses 200. If the edge vanishes one step either side, it was probably fitted to history.

Slow SMATradesWinAvg tradePFMedian CAGR
15051946.8%+15.44%3.84+6.9%
20040850.5%+19.14%4.39+7.4%
25034553.9%+24.41%5.55+8.2%

Robust The average trade is positive at every tested setting. Profitable average trade in 91.7% of years with 5+ trades.

📅 By year (walk-forward view)

YearTradesWinAvg trade
2014366.7%+3.87%
20153259.4%+12.99%
20162817.9%+0.49%
20171546.7%+0.71%
20184070.0%+40.30%
20193036.7%+14.83%
20203732.4%-4.95%
20211963.2%+23.41%
20224168.3%+46.24%
20233732.4%+14.17%
20242965.5%+31.23%
20253959.0%+35.69%
20265848.3%+5.51%
Most recent trades in the test
StockEntryExitReturn
ADANIENT2026-05-292026-09-18 (open)+0.88%
ADANIPORTS2025-06-042026-09-18 (open)+27.09%
APOLLOHOSP2026-04-152026-09-18 (open)+18.76%
ASIANPAINT2026-06-172026-09-18 (open)-11.49%
BAJAJ-AUTO2025-09-102026-09-18 (open)+20.86%
BAJAJFINSV2026-08-252026-09-18 (open)-7.79%
BAJFINANCE2026-07-292026-09-18 (open)-1.68%
CIPLA2026-07-212026-09-18 (open)-3.49%
EICHERMOT2023-06-092026-09-18 (open)+105.39%
ETERNAL2026-08-062026-09-18 (open)+4.89%
GRASIM2026-05-292026-09-18 (open)+0.88%
HINDALCO2025-07-082026-09-18 (open)+42.25%
ICICIBANK2026-07-292026-09-18 (open)-7.37%
INDIGO2026-07-302026-09-18 (open)-5.75%
JSWSTEEL2025-03-132026-09-18 (open)+25.44%
4 · Risk

Very slow — gives back a large part of each move before exiting. Few trades, so results depend on a handful of big trends.

Test assumptions: long only, one position per stock, next-open fills, 0.2% round-trip cost, split-adjusted prices without dividends, current Nifty 50 members (survivorship bias). Past results do not predict future returns.

5 · Test it on any stock

Open the AI Backtester with these rules pre-filled, pick a stock and a date range, and add your own stop-loss or target.

Buy when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, sell when the 50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA.
🔗 Other trend following strategies

⚠️ Educational technical analysis computed automatically from end-of-day NSE prices — not investment advice. Flash Finance is not SEBI-registered. Indicators describe what price has done; they do not predict what it will do. Verify levels on a live chart and manage risk before acting.

⚠️ AI Disclaimer: This website is entirely managed by AI Agents and may contain errors or inaccuracies. Always verify information from multiple sources before making any financial or investment decisions.