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Varun Beverages Limited (VBL) — Technical Setup
₹421.95 +1.56% Strong Downtrend Volatility Contraction Neutral
Summary
Varun Beverages Limited is in a strong downtrend on the daily chart, with the weekly trend bearish and the monthly trend bearish. RSI(14) is 50.5, MACD is above its signal line, ADX reads 29 (trending). The stock trades 9.7% below its 200-day average and 24.1% below its 52-week high. Volume in the latest session was 1.1× its 20-day average. Over three months it has underperformed the Nifty 50 by 14.3 percentage points. Nearest support is ₹398.32 and resistance ₹428.82. Its technical score is 40/100 (neutral).
🧮 How the 40/100 is built
Five components, 20 points each. Every rule is shown with the points it earned — the score describes the chart as it stands today; it is not a prediction.
- Close above 20-day EMA (1.12)3/3
- 20-day EMA above 50-day EMA0/3
- 50-day EMA above 200-day EMA0/3
- Close above 200-day SMA (-9.74)0/3
- SuperTrend (10,3) pointing up0/3
- ADX ≥ 20 with +DI above −DI (trend has strength) (28.95)0/3
- Weekly trend up (above a rising 30-week average)0/2
- RSI(14) in the bullish zone (55-70 best) (50.52)4/6
- MACD line above its signal line4/4
- MACD line above zero (-6.27)0/3
- 12-day rate of change positive (1.67)3/3
- Stochastic %K above %D2/2
- Outperforming the Nifty 50 over 3 months (-14.32)0/2
- On-balance volume rising over 20 sessions0/5
- Chaikin Money Flow (20) positive (-0.14)0/5
- More volume on up days than down days (20 sessions) (0.88)0/5
- Close above 20-day VWAP (1.17)5/5
- Daily range (ATR%) contained — ≤2.5% scores full (2.29)6/6
- Price in the upper half of its Bollinger Bands (0.74)5/5
- Shallow drawdown from the 52-week high (-24.08)1/5
- Volatility contracting (20-day volatility below its 6-month median) (39.20)4/4
- Room to the next resistance (≥8% scores full) (1.63)0/5
- Support close below (a tight, definable stop) (5.60)3/5
- Broke above a 20-day high in the last 5 sessions0/5
- Within 5% of the 52-week high (-24.08)0/5
🧭 Regime: Strong Downtrend
Volatility Contraction — Bollinger width is in the 17th percentile of the last six months.
Suits: Avoid longs / trend-following shorts. A strong downtrend: rallies are usually sold. Long setups need a completed reversal pattern first.
Classified from ADX, the 20/50-day EMA stack and price's distance from the 50-day average; volatility from band-width and ATR expansion.
Opens the AI Backtester with the SuperTrend (10,3) rules for VBL — supertrend (10,3) flips to an uptrend.
🕰️ Multi-timeframe
| Timeframe | Trend | RSI (14) | MACD hist. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | ▼ Bearish | 47.62 | -3.41 |
| Weekly | ▼ Bearish | 38.34 | -8.20 |
| Daily | ▼ Bearish | 50.52 | 2.76 |
Weekly: close vs a rising 30-week average (Weinstein). Monthly: close vs the 10-month average. Weekly SuperTrend: Bearish, weekly ADX 24.37.
📶 Volume & VWAP
VWAPs are computed from daily bars (typical price × volume), not intraday ticks. Volume has dried up to under 60% of normal.
💪 Relative strength
VBL ÷ Nifty 50, rebased to 100 a year ago. Rising = outperforming.
🧱 Support & resistance
Clustered swing highs and lows from the last year; “touches” is how many swings formed the level.
| Level | Price | Distance | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | ₹501.70 | +18.9% | 1 |
| Resistance | ₹489.90 | +16.1% | 3 |
| Resistance | ₹454.60 | +7.7% | 8 |
| Resistance | ₹428.82 | +1.6% | 4 |
| Close | ₹421.95 | — | |
| Support | ₹398.32 | −5.6% | 2 |
| Support | ₹381.00 | −9.7% | 1 |
52-week range: ₹381.00 – ₹555.80 (-24.08% from the high).
🌀 Fibonacci
Measuring the up-swing from ₹381.00 (2026-03-23) to ₹555.80 (2026-06-17). Price has retraced 76.6% of it.
| Ratio | Price | Distance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.6% retracement | ₹514.55 | +21.9% | |
| 38.2% retracement | ₹489.03 | +15.9% | S/R confluence |
| 50.0% retracement | ₹468.40 | +11.0% | |
| 61.8% retracement | ₹447.77 | +6.1% | |
| 78.6% retracement | ₹418.41 | -0.8% | nearest |
| 127.2% extension | ₹603.35 | +43.0% | |
| 161.8% extension | ₹663.83 | +57.3% | |
| 200.0% extension | ₹730.60 | +73.2% |
🕯️ Candlesticks (last 5 sessions)
No classic candlestick pattern in the last five sessions.
↗️ Divergences
- RSI(14) bullish 2026-08-31 → 2026-09-09₹400.45 → ₹396.20
- MACD histogram bullish 2026-08-31 → 2026-09-09₹400.45 → ₹396.20
- OBV bullish 2026-08-31 → 2026-09-09₹400.45 → ₹396.20
- MFI(14) bullish 2026-08-31 → 2026-09-09₹400.45 → ₹396.20
- Stochastic %K bullish 2026-08-31 → 2026-09-09₹400.45 → ₹396.20
✅ Screens VBL passes today
| Stock | Close | Chg | Score | Trend regime | RS rating (1-99) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABDLAllied Blenders and Distillers Limited | ₹647.60 | -0.84% | 91 | Uptrend | 74.00 |
| KRISHIVALKrishival Foods Limited | ₹419.30 | +2.41% | 79 | Range | 58.00 |
| GMBREWGM Breweries Limited | ₹953.95 | +1.80% | 75 | Uptrend | 62.00 |
| PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods Limited | ₹268.50 | +1.47% | 74 | Strong Uptrend | 66.00 |
| HERITGFOODHeritage Foods Limited | ₹418.10 | +3.12% | 70 | Strong Uptrend | 69.00 |
| RADICORadico Khaitan Limited | ₹4,535 | +3.55% | 70 | Uptrend | 88.00 |
| MANORAMAManorama Industries Limited | ₹1,967 | +1.43% | 69 | Strong Uptrend | 87.00 |
| PATANJALIPatanjali Foods Limited | ₹367.00 | +3.54% | 68 | Range | 10.00 |
| GODREJAGROGodrej Agrovet Limited | ₹661.60 | +1.22% | 66 | Strong Uptrend | 67.00 |
| UGARSUGARThe Ugar Sugar Works Limited | ₹56.79 | +6.33% | 66 | Strong Uptrend | 86.00 |
⚠️ Educational technical analysis computed automatically from end-of-day NSE prices — not investment advice. Flash Finance is not SEBI-registered. Indicators describe what price has done; they do not predict what it will do. Verify levels on a live chart and manage risk before acting.
